Sven Ove Hannsson, 2011: “Coping with the unpredictable effects of future technologies,” Philosophy and Technology 24: 137-149.
mere possibility arguments.
Hannsson offers a way out of ‘predicting the future’ while retaining the ability to make rational arguments about whether to plan for and adopt future technologies. He sets forth a claim for ‘mere possibility arguments’ that appear to similar to Fuller’s ‘proactionary principle’ and might well fit with it as Hannsson gives a five-step process for the evaluation of new technologies and their potential benefits and harms for humans and our world.
1. Inventory: Finding symmetric arguments
2. Scientific Assessment: Specification; Refutation
3. Symmetry Tests: Test of opposite effects; Test of alternative causes
4. Evaluation: Novelty; Spatio-temporal unlimitedness; Interference with complex systems
5. Hypothetical Retrospection